Canada's carney Reject Trump '51'st State" Talk In Oval Office :
What will happen if Ottawa doesn’t buy American F-35 jets?
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Canada could find itself in a difficult spot with Washington in the future if Ottawa decides to renege on a commitment to purchase American F-35 fighter jets, at least according to a new warning from the US Ambassador to Canada.
The US may have to take over North American air defense
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Canadians are likely to see American F-35 fighter jets operating in their airspace even if Ottawa opts for a different airframe to modernize the nation’s air force, US Ambassador Pete Hoekstra told CBC News during a recent interview.
Washington will have to buy more F-35s to defend Canada
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Hoekstra explained to the Canadian news outlet that if Canada does not buy the fighter jets it pledged to purchase from the United States, Washington would have to buy more of the advanced jets and use them in Canadian airspace.
The latest worrying salvo from the Trump administration
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The warning of consequences to come is the latest salvo from the Trump administration amid the worsening ties between Canada and the United States, which have spiralled out of control since Donald Trump returned to power in January 2025.
A consequence of how Trump treats Canada in public
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One consequence of Trump’s repeated verbal attacks on Canada’s sovereignty was the F-35 fighter jet deal that Hoekstra recently complained about to CBC News. Canada put the deal under review and has yet to make a final decision on whether or not it will purchase the American jets.
A massive mutli-billion dollar fighter deal in near ruins
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In 2022, Ottawa agreed to a massive multi-billion-dollar deal to buy 88 Lockheed Martin F-35 fighter jets from the United States to modernize its air fleet and bring the Royal Canadian Air Force into better interoperability with its US counterpart.
Canada committed to buying nearly one hundred
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According to the Independent, Canada originally committed to funding 16 F-35s with the option to fund the full 88 fighter jets. However, cost overruns and production issues then quickly began to plague the fighter jet program.
An audit revealed major problems with the program
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A 2025 audit of the deal reportedly found that costs had risen from $19 billion dollars to $27 billion dollars. Rising tensions with the United States following President Trump’s return to power resulted in Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney calling for the F-35 deal with the US to be reviewed.
Ottawa turned its sights toward another option
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Canada has widened the net of possible fighter jets that it could adopt instead of the F-35, which now includes Saab's JAS 39 Gripen E fighter, a Swedish airframe. Unfortunately, if Canada opts to buy the Gripen over the F-35, it will cause more issues with Washington and the Trump administration.
A jet that isn’t as good as the American F-35
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The Gripen is not as advanced as the F-35, and as such, it cannot bring the same type of capabilities to the defense of North American skies that the F-35 can, which in turn was why Hoekstra said Washington may need to take over some key air defense roles over North America if Canada doesn’t buy the F-35 for its air force.
Why buying F-35 jets could really matter
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Under the current terms of the North American Aerospace Defense Command (NORAD), the United States and Canada can fly missions in their collective airspace to address potential threats, but America may need to go further in the future, Hoekstra claimed.
“NORAD would have to be altered”
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According to the National Post, Hoekstra said that “NORAD would have to be altered,” before explaining that if Canada decides to choose “an inferior product that is not as interchangeable, interoperable as what the F-35 is, that changes our defence capability. And as such, we have to figure out how we’re going to replace that.”
Saab sweetened its possible deal with Canada
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Saab has sweetened its possible deal with Ottawa, offering to manufacture its jets in Canada, which would bring 12,600 jobs to the country. However, Carney and his government will have to think about the possible political consequences that could stem from not buying the F-35.
Consequences and political bargaining chips
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President Trump is a problem in the equation because he could end up citing a choice not to buy American jets as a reason to levy new tariffs on Canada. The choice of what airframe to buy could also be used by Carney as a political bargaining chip.
The broader context of US-Canadian relations
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Canada is currently seeking to negotiate a new bilateral trade agreement with the United States at a time when the vital free trade agreement protecting Canadians from Trump’s 35% tariffs, the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, is up for review in July 2026.
Carney has a tough choice ahead
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Which fighter jet Canada will choose to purchase to modernize its air force has yet to be seen, but in December 2025, the Ottawa Citizen noted that a leaked report showed that the Canadian military wanted Carney to pick the F-35 since it was a far superior fighter jet and better suited for interoperability with the United States.
Comments that Ottawa shouldn’t ignore
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"This is another off-the-cuff remark by the ambassador,” Vincent Rigby, former national security advisor to Justin Trudeau, told CBC News about Hoekstra’s comments. "It can’t be ignored but neither should it be taken as gospel truth from either the administration or the Pentagon."
The Gripen versus the F-35
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Rigby noted that the Gripen was a highly proficient aircraft used by some of our NATO allies" that does well in Arctic conditions, a threat of potential future conflict that Trump has been fixated on in recent weeks. However, he also noted the F-35 "would allow for easier and greater interoperability with the U.S. Air Force — an important consideration both in NORAD and overseas operations."
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